SHOCK POLL: Farage Trumps Starmer on National Security as Crime Soars

Paul Riverbank, 7/20/2025 A striking new poll reveals Nigel Farage outpacing Sir Keir Starmer on national security trust metrics, while Policy Exchange data highlights alarming crime rate increases. This unprecedented shift in public confidence suggests a critical inflection point in British politics, particularly regarding law and order policies.

The Political Landscape Shifts: Trust, Crime, and the Challenge to Convention

Something remarkable is happening in British politics. A recent poll has revealed what many close observers of the political scene have long suspected but few dared articulate: Nigel Farage, the Reform UK figure known for his controversial stances, has surpassed Labour's Sir Keir Starmer in public trust on national security issues.

I've spent decades analyzing political trends, but this development stands out. It's not just the numbers – though they're striking enough. What's truly fascinating is how this reflects a fundamental shift in public sentiment toward established political institutions.

Let's look at what's driving this. David Spencer from Policy Exchange painted a grim picture during his GB News appearance. Knife crime up 90% over a decade. Robbery increased by a third in just three years. Shoplifting at historic highs. These aren't just statistics – they're symptoms of a deeper malaise in our society.

But here's what really caught my attention: the public's response cuts across traditional political lines. When Policy Exchange dug into the data, they found something unexpected. Whether you look at Conservative strongholds or Labour heartlands, the message was the same – people want tougher action on crime. Period.

For Starmer, this must sting. Here's a man who served as Director of Public Prosecutions, someone who should own this issue. Instead, he's being outflanked by Farage, a figure who's never held traditional law enforcement responsibilities. The irony wouldn't be lost on Westminster veterans.

I remember covering Starmer's early days as Labour leader. Back then, his legal background seemed like a golden ticket – the perfect credential for a country concerned about law and order. But politics has a way of upending conventional wisdom. Today's poll suggests voters are looking past CVs and gravitating toward voices they believe understand their concerns, regardless of traditional qualifications.

What we're witnessing isn't just about crime statistics or polling numbers. It's about trust – that precious political commodity that can't be manufactured or spun. When people lose faith in conventional channels, they look elsewhere. Sometimes, as in this case, they look to unexpected places.

The implications for British politics could be profound. As we head toward future electoral contests, law and order won't just be another box to tick – it's becoming a litmus test for political credibility. Traditional parties ignore this shift at their peril.

In my view, we're watching the slow unraveling of assumptions that have governed British political life for generations. The question isn't whether change is coming – it's already here. The real question is whether the established political class can adapt to this new reality.

The Political Landscape Shifts: Trust, Crime, and the Challenge to ConventionSomething remarkable is happening in British politics. A recent poll has revealed what many close observers of the political scene have long suspected but few dared articulate: Nigel Farage, the Reform UK figure known for his controversial stances, has surpassed Labour's Sir Keir Starmer in public trust on national security issues.I've spent decades analyzing political trends, but this development stands out. It's not just the numbers – though they're striking enough. What's truly fascinating is how this reflects a fundamental shift in public sentiment toward established political institutions.Let's look at what's driving this. David Spencer from Policy Exchange painted a grim picture during his GB News appearance. Knife crime up 90% over a decade. Robbery increased by a third in just three years. Shoplifting at historic highs. These aren't just statistics – they're symptoms of a deeper malaise in our society.But here's what really caught my attention: the public's response cuts across traditional political lines. When Policy Exchange dug into the data, they found something unexpected. Whether you look at Conservative strongholds or Labour heartlands, the message was the same – people want tougher action on crime. Period.For Starmer, this must sting. Here's a man who served as Director of Public Prosecutions, someone who should own this issue. Instead, he's being outflanked by Farage, a figure who's never held traditional law enforcement responsibilities. The irony wouldn't be lost on Westminster veterans.I remember covering Starmer's early days as Labour leader. Back then, his legal background seemed like a golden ticket – the perfect credential for a country concerned about law and order. But politics has a way of upending conventional wisdom. Today's poll suggests voters are looking past CVs and gravitating toward voices they believe understand their concerns, regardless of traditional qualifications.What we're witnessing isn't just about crime statistics or polling numbers. It's about trust – that precious political commodity that can't be manufactured or spun. When people lose faith in conventional channels, they look elsewhere. Sometimes, as in this case, they look to unexpected places.The implications for British politics could be profound. As we head toward future electoral contests, law and order won't just be another box to tick – it's becoming a litmus test for political credibility. Traditional parties ignore this shift at their peril.In my view, we're watching the slow unraveling of assumptions that have governed British political life for generations. The question isn't whether change is coming – it's already here. The real question is whether the established political class can adapt to this new reality.